Could Ernesto reach storm strength? Tropical Storm Ernesto Gathering strength over the central Caribbean, Tropical Storm Ernesto headed toward Jamaica on Saturday and the chances of it entering the Gulf of Mexico as the first hurricane is high. Ernesto is currently packing winds of 50 mph and by Tuesday Ernesto is projected to reach hurricane strength. But the real question, is Ernesto going towards New Orleans? According to the two probabilities maps I have, regrettably, it looks to be that way.

The two maps I have are refreshable; we will be able to keep track of further developments.

UPDATE: Close call. It looks like it will hit Florida now.